Alright class, calculators at the ready? Let’s start doing some
permutations.
Actually, I’m not going to do that. Much has been made of what Ulster
need going into this last weekend in Europe and, quite frankly, it’s going to
take a lot for Les Kiss’ men to reach the last eight of the Champions’ Cup
because, not only do Ulster need to take the maximum haul at home to Oyonnax on
Saturday afternoon, but they’re also relying on two of about six results going
their way and even within that there are permutations inside permutations.
Five points against Oyonnax should not be the problem, in fact should
things do according to plan Ulster should rack up something resembling a
cricket score against the Top14 strugglers at the Kingspan Stadium. How they played
in the second half over in the Stade Charles Mathon is more of a representation
of how Ulster can play and how they should tear apart their opponents this
Saturday.
As for the other results, there are too many that need to fall in
Ulster’s favour for them to progress. For example, can you really see
Bordeaux-Begles taking four points from Clermont? Or Leinster’s cubs stealing a
win from Wasps who were so cruelly denied a deserved win at the Stade Felix
Mayol on Sunday afternoon?
Realistically all Ulster can do is set the benchmark and wait and see
which teams meet it and which fall short.
What I’m more interested in is Ulster’s problems, and while I’m not
referring to the defeat to Saracens, I am referring to their sudden strength in
depth across the park following the return of one player and the signing of
another.
We start in London where, although four tries were leaked and a bonus
point was not acquired, I do not feel Ulster disgraced themselves. Saracens are
simply streets ahead of the rest of the competition, us included, and are so
well financed and drilled that it would have taken an unbelievable performance
to even secure that losing bonus point. It is very likely we were just beaten
by one of this season’s main contenders, if not the champions themselves.
Instead, there are a few things Ulster can take from the game, none
more so than the return of Jared Payne at full-back, and within 15 minutes of
coming back he proved exactly why he is a crucial member of Ulster’s squad.
Having seen Stuart McCloskey and Luke Marshall excel as a partnership
in his absence, Payne was put into a vacant shirt at full-back and proceeded to
remind all Ulster fans just what they have been missing since he was ruled out
during the World Cup with a foot injury - his early stab kick through for Luke
Marshall to score was nothing short of inch perfect, and it had to be, and was
a perfect reflection on Payne’s class.
Where he fits in is another question entirely. With the aforementioned
McCloskey and Marshall pushing to be Ireland’s centre partnership come the Six
Nations next month, Payne may be better served at full back as opposed to
trying to wrestle one of them out of their shirt, especially with Rob Kearney
simply going through the status quo down in Dublin and not setting anything
alight with his performances.
Being injured for so long won’t have helped Payne’s hopes of securing a
starting place in a very competitive Ulster back line, but Saturday was an apt
reminder of what he can do.
Meanwhile, the arrival of the most un-Irish sounding Irish
international ever has increased our depth in a position where we needed it
most. Rodney Ah You will join us next season and will compete with current
tighthead duo Wiehahn Herbst and Ricky Lutton for a starting place in our front
row, an area where we are getting stronger but could use as much depth as
possible in case of injuries.
Despite falling down the Irish pecking order of late, Ah You is still
an exciting acquisition for Ulster. He is a very dynamic ball carrier (something
Ulster are in short supply of with the departure of Nick Williams) and if the
Ulster coaching staff can sort out his scrummaging, which has been the subject
of criticism, then he will be a very handy player to have in the squad,
especially as someone to add impact off the bench.
Reasons to be cheerful this week, both in the short and long term.
Payne’s return will be a catalyst that will hopefully see us ride a wave into
the quarter-finals of the Champions’ Cup, while Ah You’s transfer north has
filled a hole in our squad and has increased competition in a position where we
need like-for-like replacements in a match.
For a week that started with a loss, not too bad I say.
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