Thursday 6 December 2012

EUROPEAN UNION

There’s always a nice buzz around the province when European rugby returns – and this weekend it’s no different.

The double headers are back again and this year, Ulster have two Christmas crackers on their hands – against the Northampton Saints. Both sides will have recent memories of each other from their one and only other meeting two seasons ago in the Heineken Cup quarter-final in Milton Keynes.

Ulster will be hoping the result tomorrow won’t be the same as it was then…

Unlucky 13?
After their win in Llanelli last Sunday, Ulster are now twelve games unbeaten in all competitions and they won’t want that run to come to an end in England tomorrow. Unfortunately, the most eagle-eyed of fans will realise from my subtitle that this is Ulster’s thirteenth game – and we all know what the number thirteen represents…

But Mark Anscombe is insistent that the unbeaten run won’t affect the Ulstermen’s preparations – it hasn’t so far. And ironically that is what keeps the run going. By not thinking about it, it doesn’t get in the way, and that method shouldn’t change now. It’s worked twelve times before, it will hopefully work a thirteenth.

In fact, the game offers more than just points actually – there is the chance for Ulster to win their 50th European match tomorrow night. A stat they will want to have as soon as possible.

As for the teams, it is the clash of the heavyweights. Ulster have opted for experience in Tom Court over Callum Black at prop, while Northampton line up with the ‘usual’ front row, consisting of Tongan international Soane Tonga’uiha, England hooker Dylan Hartley and former Springbok Brian Mujati. The Saints pride themselves on their brutal forward power – they have won penalties from 50% of all of their driving mauls and scrums this season. That is a staggering fact.

So it will be up to Ulster’s internationals to front up too – Court is joined in the front row by Rory Best and John Afoa. The team that gets the upper hand at scrum time will control the match, because then they can pin the opposition back into the corners and work forward with the driving mauls.

Can Ulster stand up to the might of the Saints pack? I’ll be honest and say I would’ve been a lot more confident if Callum Black had started, considering the way he controlled the scrum against the Scarlets last week. But even so, I think it will be a very even contest up front. It may even come down to the second row to decide who edges the forwards battle – and it’s even closer there!

So with a dead heat in the scrum, it should come down to the team that has the most creative backs. Or will it? Because the two teams are very similar there too. Bolstered by the return of Ben Foden, Northampton boast an electric back line, spearheaded by the Pisi brothers – Ken and George. One a winger, one a centre, both possess incredible speed and can carve a defence open in one mazy run. Ken is the top try scorer in the Heineken Cup so far, so Ulster had better have their defence sorted.

And it is their experience that should be able to quell the Saints’ attacking threat – Ulster’s back line has four Ireland internationals, a Springbok and an ex-Ireland U20 captain in it. If you want experience, look no further. Andrew Trimble won the battle over Craig Gilroy to take the 11 shirt, but knows that if he messes up, the young understudy will be ready to take over.

On the topic of the backs – congratulations to Tommy Bowe as well who wins his 50th Heineken Cup cap – it will be his 25th for Ulster, to add to 25 won for the Ospreys.

Ruan Pienaar, Jared Payne and Paddy Wallace also return after breaks last week to form what many would say is Ulster’s strongest team (minus Stephen Ferris). It is fair to say that Ulster will have no excuses if they lose – it is their strongest team on a 12-match unbeaten streak. I’m not saying this is a guaranteed win, not at all, but what I am saying is that Ulster cannot come away from the game making excuses for losing.

That is what Heineken Cup rugby is all about. Two full strength sides taking each other on in two do-or-die matches, and you would back the team that gets the most points out of the two games to take top spot in the pool. It is up to Ulster to make sure that the Saints get nothing from these two games to take a bit of pressure off the matches in January against Glasgow and Castres. Then they will be in complete control of the pool.

This is, without any doubt whatsoever, the biggest test Ulster have faced so far. It will take all their strength, will and tactics to pass this test, and if they do, they will have well and truly earned their stripes. Of course I’m backing them to do it! Prediction – Ulster by 4!

Friday 7th December, 20:00
Franklin’s Gardens
Live on Sky Sports 2 (HD & 3D)

NORTHAMPTON
15. Ben Foden, 14. Ken Pisi, 13. George Pisi, 12. Dom Waldouck, 11. Tom Elliott, 10. Ryan Lamb, 9. Martin Roberts; 1. Soane Tonga’uiha, 2. Dylan Hartley (c), 3. Brian Mujati, 4. Samu Manoa, 5. Courtney Lawes, 6. Calum Clark, 7. Tom Wood, 8. GJ van Velze.

16. Mike Haywood, 17. Alex Waller, 18. Paul Doran-Jones, 19. Mark Sorenson, 20. Phil Dowson, 21. Lee Dickson, 22. Stephen Myler, 23. Tom May.

ULSTER
15. Jared Payne, 14. Tommy Bowe, 13. Darren Cave, 12. Paddy Wallace, 11. Andrew Trimble, 10. Paddy Jackson, 9. Ruan Pienaar; 1. Tom Court, 2. Rory Best, 3. John Afoa, 4. Johann Muller (c), 5. Dan Tuohy, 6. Iain Henderson, 7. Chris Henry, 8. Roger Wilson.

16. Nigel Brady, 17. Callum Black, 18. Ricky Lutton, 19. Robbie Diack, 20. Nick Williams, 21. Paul Marshall, 22. Luke Marshall, 23. Craig Gilroy.

Referee: Jerome Garces (Fra)
Assistant referees: Patrick Pechambert (Fra), Sebastien Cloute (Fra)
TMO: Laurent Valin (Fra)

Around the grounds – Europe version
There are some big games this weekend – how will they go? Check it out…

Glasgow v Castres – Home win
Connacht v Biarritz – Away win
Scarlets v Exeter – Home win
Toulouse v Ospreys – Home win
Zebre v Harlequins – Away win (TBP)
Sale v Toulon – Away win
Munster v Saracens – Away win
Racing Metro v Edinburgh – Home win
Cardiff v Montpellier – Home win
Leicester v Treviso – Home win (TBP)
Clermont v Leinster – Home win

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